Should I move? Can I move?

When is the best time to make a move? This is John Schloz with this month's market update.

The best time to make a move is always when you or your family has a need that requires a move -

a new baby, kids off to college, moving to or out of town for a job. Quality of life is important so when life says move,

I'm here for you.

But how about if you just have the itch to make a move. How do you know if it's a good time?

One rule of thumb is it's always a good time to buy or sell if it's a seller's market.

In a seller's market prices tend to increase faster than in a balanced market. Selling you house in a seller's market is

advantageous if you're selling and buying to move up or down. You may not get top dollar for your sale, but you also

won't PAY top dollar for your purchase. If you wait to sell at the very top of the market, you'll need to buy at the top

of the market so there's no advantage to waiting.

Some sellers today think the market is due for a downturn and they think - "I'll sell today and rent for a while. Prices

are sure to come down." There are flaws to this logic.

Prices only drop in a sustained buyer's market. We've been in a strong seller's market for a long time and for prices to

drop, we need to first shift to a balance market and then move into a buyer's market for an extended period of time.

In 2005 when we had the crash it took 8 months to move from a seller's market to a balanced market and prices

continued to increase during that time. And then it took 3 more months to move into a buyer's market and 8 more

months to see prices impacted and we're in a market today that's significantly hotter than it was in 2005. Waiting

today may mean waiting for a year or two... or three for prices to drop. While you're waiting, you're paying rent, not

building equity, not claiming the potential tax advantages of home ownership and dealing with rising rental rates. the

shortage of housing in the Valley is not going away - more people are moving here than other city in the country at an

increasing rate, driving up demand and prices for rentals and purchases. Waiting to sell and buy will most likely cost

you money.

As a buyer, it may be frustrating finding a property in this very strong seller's market. But when you do, your equity

growth begins almost immediately. Real estate is the best way to build wealth and waiting to buy will cost you

money as well.

Whether you're waiting to buy or waiting to sell, waiting will most likely cost you money.

There are strategies to WIN in this market and I can help you do that. Just give me a call. I am John Schloz with HomeSmart

Luxury Market is Setting Records

Valley wide, Real Estate Sales volume year to date, through October has exceeded 32 billion dollars. this is a record

for the valley and is over 14% higher than the sales volume last year at this time. And this is with virtually no increase in the number of sales.

But don't be misled- it's not all price increases. Yes, prices have significantly increased this year but the biggest surprise that is impacting the Valley's market is the mix of homes that have sold.

North Scottsdale Opportunities

North Scottsdale, 85255 and 85260, for the past few years has seen very little appreciation in the $800,000 to $1.5mil price range. Both 2019 and 2018 saw average price per foot in this category rise less than 2%. Year to date we have seen an increase of 6%. This trend will probably continue as inventory get tighter in the interior city. New working at home models and a renewed appreciation for not being on top of your neighbor will also keep raising prices. This area could be one of the value plays in 2020.

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Luxury Homes Prices

A common question I get is “Are luxury home sellers taking low ball offers because of the pandemic?” From the data we we see that asking prices and the prices that luxury homes (Homes over $1mil) sell has remained fairly constant. Luxury home values have been protected by the lack of supply. There are luxury home owners wanting to make a move. However, many of these potential sellers have postponed making a move. Luxury buyers coming into the valley are finding fewer options to choose from.

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